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Sports · Polymarket

US Open WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Elise Mertens

Trade on Polymarket →
22.65%
20.8% calibrated
09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMThu 0303 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM1820222426283032%22.55%

Stats

24h Volume
$184.0K

Your call

The market says 22.6%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price22.65%
Spread + depth+1.32 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability23.97%
4172
Shares
$3,172
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.7¢ (3.0%)
Mid Price
23.5¢
Total Depth
$101,464
Bid/Ask Imbalance
6% bid
Bids (Buy)
23.2¢183
23.1¢5,195
23.0¢188
22.5¢7,969
22.1¢5,196
22.0¢107
21.2¢350
21.0¢118
Asks (Sell)
23.9¢250
24.0¢5,186
24.3¢25
24.4¢821
24.5¢7,913
24.9¢8
25.0¢707
25.1¢5,186
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
23.94¢+0.17%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
23.99¢+0.39%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
31.97¢+33.78%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)20.43%→ 19.3% calibrated
Platforms differ by 5.05pts — a normal range.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Elise Mertens22.65%21¢ / 24.3¢
56%
LimitlessMaria Timofeeva vs Elise Mertens17.60%15.5¢ / 19.7¢
44%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Elise Mertens"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 22.65%, based on $184.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 10, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (17.60%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 20.43%. See the full comparison table below.