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Culture · Polymarket

Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?

Trade on Polymarket →
95.70%
06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMFri 0403 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSat 0503 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PM405060708090100%95.70%

Stats

24h Volume
$5.0K

Your call

The market says 95.7%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price95.70%
Spread + depth+3.08 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability98.78%
1012
Shares
$12
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.2¢ (3.3%)
Mid Price
95.7¢
Total Depth
$4,976
Bid/Ask Imbalance
16% bid
Bids (Buy)
94.1¢7
94.0¢7
92.5¢30
92.4¢50
92.2¢72
85.6¢10
85.3¢10
85.2¢400
Asks (Sell)
97.3¢100
97.4¢83
97.5¢50
97.9¢84
98.0¢50
98.8¢15
99.0¢103
99.1¢100
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
97.30¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
98.78¢+1.53%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
99.61¢+2.37%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 95.70%, based on $5.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 9, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.