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Sports · Polymarket

Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Trade on Polymarket →
6.50%
5.9% calibrated
01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMMon 2801 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM510152025303540%11.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$427.2K

Your call

The market says 6.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price6.50%
Spread + depth+5.34 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability11.84%
8446
Shares
$7,446
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (15.4%)
Mid Price
6.5¢
Total Depth
$299,574
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
6.0¢536
5.0¢1,051
4.0¢6,142
3.0¢5,735
2.0¢3,780
1.0¢73
Asks (Sell)
7.0¢728
8.0¢110
9.0¢102
10.0¢510
11.0¢533
12.0¢2,989
13.0¢2,739
14.0¢389
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
8.00¢+14.24%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
11.84¢+69.10%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
34.74¢+396.26%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)7.00%
Platforms agree closely — 3pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketChengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6.50%6¢ / 7¢
83%
LimitlessNikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina9.50%7¢ / 12¢
17%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 6.50%, based on $427.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (9.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 7.00%. See the full comparison table below.