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Sports · Polymarket

Game Spread: Tristan Boyer (-0.5) vs Timo Legout (+0.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
9.00%
8.3% calibrated
06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSat 2603 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM0102030405060%9.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$2.8K

Your call

The market says 9.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price9.00%
Spread + depth+58.55 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability67.55%
1480
Shares
$480
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
—
Mid Price
—
Total Depth
$3,996
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
Asks (Sell)
18.0¢5
19.0¢500
50.0¢50
95.0¢1,000
97.0¢1,000
99.0¢1,975
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
19.49¢+8.25%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
67.55¢+275.28%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
88.22¢+390.09%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Game Spread: Tristan Boyer (-0.5) vs Timo Legout (+0.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 9.00%, based on $2.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 2, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.