Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 56.5% on "St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur", backed by $387.5K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $387.5K
Your call
The market says 56.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
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True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
Live Order Book Depth
Compare Across Platforms
| Platform | Question | Live Price | Real Bid / Ask | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur | 56.50% | 56¢ / 57¢ | 84% |
| Limitless | Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur | 56.25% | 53.7¢ / 58.8¢ | 16% |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 56.50%, based on $387.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 29, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (56.25%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 56.46%. See the full comparison table below.