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Sports · Polymarket

China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu

Trade on Polymarket →
18.45%
17.7% calibrated
03 PM06 PM09 PMTue 2903 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMWed 3003 AM06 AM253035404550%26.75%

Stats

24h Volume
$149.2K

Your call

The market says 18.4%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price18.45%
Spread + depth+3.78 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability22.23%
4499
Shares
$3,499
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (0.5%)
Mid Price
22.1¢
Total Depth
$27,965
Bid/Ask Imbalance
38% bid
Bids (Buy)
22.0¢292
21.5¢2,456
21.4¢154
21.3¢154
21.2¢692
21.0¢787
20.5¢2,456
20.4¢495
Asks (Sell)
22.1¢1,002
22.2¢2,456
22.4¢870
22.5¢7,153
23.0¢536
23.3¢2,456
24.0¢793
25.0¢368
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
22.10¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
22.23¢+0.58%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
26.96¢+22.01%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)19.83%
Platforms differ by 8.3pts — a normal range.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketChina Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu18.45%18¢ / 18.9¢
83%
LimitlessJuan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu26.75%24.5¢ / 29¢
17%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 18.45%, based on $149.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 7, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (26.75%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 19.83%. See the full comparison table below.