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Sports · Polymarket

San Diego 2: Keaton Hance vs Andres Martin

Trade on Polymarket →
54.50%
54.0% calibrated
09 PMMon 2103 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMTue 2203 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMWed 2303 AM152025303540455055%50.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$88.3K

Your call

The market says 54.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price54.50%
Spread + depth−2.99 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability51.51%
1941
Shares
$941
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (4.0%)
Mid Price
50.0¢
Total Depth
$487,520
Bid/Ask Imbalance
9% bid
Bids (Buy)
49.0¢462
48.0¢462
47.0¢355
46.0¢222
45.0¢19,513
44.0¢16,402
43.0¢5,168
42.0¢1,175
Asks (Sell)
51.0¢945
52.0¢1,096
53.0¢2,331
54.0¢10,515
55.0¢21,638
56.0¢12,196
57.0¢232
58.0¢9,971
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
51.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
51.51¢+1.01%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
53.80¢+5.50%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)51.32%
Platforms agree closely — 1pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketSan Diego 2: Keaton Hance vs Andres Martin54.50%54¢ / 55¢
82%
LimitlessKeaton Hance vs Andres Martin50.50%48.2¢ / 52.8¢
18%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "San Diego 2: Keaton Hance vs Andres Martin"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 54.50%, based on $88.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 28, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (50.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 51.32%. See the full comparison table below.