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Sports · Polymarket

Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet

Trade on Polymarket →
44.50%
03 PM06 PM09 PMTue 2203 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMWed 2303 AM06 AM09 AM44464850525456586062%59.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$207.5K

Your call

The market says 44.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price44.50%
Spread + depth+20.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability65.00%
1538
Shares
$538
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.6%)
Mid Price
64.5¢
Total Depth
$649,038
Bid/Ask Imbalance
27% bid
Bids (Buy)
64.0¢13,231
63.0¢79,338
62.0¢6,821
61.0¢10,573
60.0¢13,060
59.0¢816
58.0¢473
57.0¢50,000
Asks (Sell)
65.0¢15,395
66.0¢80,736
67.0¢7,634
68.0¢15,706
69.0¢10,662
70.0¢55,974
71.0¢51,481
72.0¢2,092
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
65.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
65.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
65.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)50.48%
Platforms disagree by 14.95pts — wider than usual, worth checking each quote below before trusting the average.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketHangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet44.50%43¢ / 46¢
60%
Limitless
Furthest from consensus
Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet59.45%57.2¢ / 61.7¢
40%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 44.50%, based on $207.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (59.45%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 50.48%. See the full comparison table below.