2.15%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 97.85% on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?", backed by $241.5K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $241.5K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.3¢ (60.5%)
Mid Price
2.1¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$234,448
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
1.5¢30
1.4¢83
1.2¢84
1.1¢290
1.0¢5
0.8¢1,800
0.7¢3,000
0.6¢333
Asks (Sell)
2.8¢30
2.9¢492
3.0¢100
3.5¢880
3.6¢15,320
3.7¢10,000
3.8¢20,000
4.0¢2,000
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
3.42¢+22.26%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
3.62¢+29.40%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
8.34¢+197.98%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Culture Markets
Polymarket▲ 0.2024H
0.25%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
0.25%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $71.6K
Polymarket▼ 0.9524H
3.55%+2717
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
3.55%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $67.4K
Polymarket0.70%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
0.70%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $66.5K
Polymarket▼ 0.1024H
0.15%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
0.15%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $682.3K
Polymarket▼ 2.0024H
31.50%+217
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
31.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $84.5K
Polymarket▼ 4.0024H
64.50%-182
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?
64.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $78.2K
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 2.15%, based on $241.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 16, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.