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Finance · Polymarket

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 9?

Trade on Polymarket →
98.60%
Live Bitcoin Price$81,551▲ 5.55% 24h· via CoinGecko
07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMThu 0301 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM405060708090100%98.60%

Stats

24h Volume
$2.8K

Your call

The market says 98.6%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price98.60%
Spread + depth+0.90 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability99.50%
1005
Shares
$5
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (2.0%)
Mid Price
98.6¢
Total Depth
$59,189
Bid/Ask Imbalance
26% bid
Bids (Buy)
97.6¢5,035
97.3¢100
80.0¢385
58.5¢17
46.9¢21
41.0¢24
32.0¢31
31.0¢4,032
Asks (Sell)
99.6¢4,100
99.7¢2,047
99.8¢3,764
99.9¢34,175
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
99.60¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
99.60¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
99.70¢+0.10%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldBitcoin price reaches 80k USD by the end of September
99.01%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 9?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 98.60%, based on $2.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 9, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.