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Finance · Polymarket

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 3?

Trade on Polymarket →
99.95%
Live Bitcoin Price$81,550▲ 5.40% 24h· via CoinGecko
Fri 2812 PMSat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PM828486889092949698100%99.95%

Stats

24h Volume
$100.0K

Your call

The market says 100.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive best ask
Quoted price99.50%
Spread + depth0.00 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability99.50%
1005
Shares
$5
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
—
Mid Price
—
Total Depth
$193,705
Bid/Ask Imbalance
100% bid
Bids (Buy)
99.9¢154,528
99.8¢474
99.1¢2,077
99.0¢30,045
97.9¢213
97.8¢200
97.6¢244
95.7¢50
Asks (Sell)
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
Insufficient depth
$1,000 order
Insufficient depth
$10,000 order
Insufficient depth

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldBitcoin price reaches 80k USD by the end of September
99.01%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 3?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 99.95%, based on $100.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 3, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.