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Finance · Polymarket

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?

Trade on Polymarket →
69.50%
Live Bitcoin Price$76,642▼ 1.74% 24h· via CoinGecko
Fri 2806 AM12 PM06 PMSat 2906 AM12 PM06 PMAug 3006 AM12 PM06 PMMon 3106 AM12 PM06 PMSeptember06 AM12 PM06 PMWed 0206 AM12 PM6065707580859095%68.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$34.3K

Your call

The market says 69.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price69.50%
Spread + depth−0.29 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability69.21%
1445
Shares
$445
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.5%)
Mid Price
68.5¢
Total Depth
$93,175
Bid/Ask Imbalance
21% bid
Bids (Buy)
68.0¢450
67.0¢1,806
66.0¢1,089
65.0¢7,100
64.0¢914
63.0¢765
62.0¢410
61.0¢10
Asks (Sell)
69.0¢1,140
70.0¢8,019
71.0¢690
72.0¢5,750
73.0¢340
74.0¢395
75.0¢400
76.0¢400
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
69.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
69.21¢+0.31%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
70.58¢+2.29%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldBitcoin price reaches 80k USD by the end of September
73.08%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 69.50%, based on $34.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 3, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.