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Finance · Polymarket

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?

Trade on Polymarket →
82.00%
Live Bitcoin Price$79,869▲ 0.11% 24h· via CoinGecko
Wed 0206 AM12 PM06 PMThu 0306 AM12 PM06 PMFri 0406 AM12 PM06 PMSat 0506 AM12 PM06 PMSep 0606 AM12 PM06 PMMon 0706 AM12 PM06 PM2030405060708090100%82.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 92.6% in 2d (86.0–96.2%)+0.08pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$2.8K
Momentum
+0.08pt/day

Your call

The market says 82.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price82.00%
Spread + depth+1.00 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability83.00%
1205
Shares
$205
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.2%)
Mid Price
82.5¢
Total Depth
$66,218
Bid/Ask Imbalance
43% bid
Bids (Buy)
82.0¢1,904
81.0¢5,944
80.0¢831
79.0¢7,430
77.0¢400
76.0¢40
74.0¢2,640
68.0¢400
Asks (Sell)
83.0¢7,180
85.0¢1,743
86.0¢5,603
87.0¢800
88.0¢400
91.0¢3,056
92.0¢463
93.0¢286
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
83.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
83.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
84.04¢+1.26%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 82.00%, based on $2.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 8, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.