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Finance · Polymarket

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?

Trade on Polymarket →
2.40%
Live Bitcoin Price$77,133▼ 0.30% 24h· via CoinGecko
Wed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PM05101520253035%2.45%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 0.8% in 2d (0.5–1.3%)-0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$27.2K
Momentum
-0.02pt/day

Your call

The market says 2.4%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price2.40%
Spread + depth+3.23 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability5.63%
17776
Shares
$16,776
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.4¢ (16.7%)
Mid Price
2.4¢
Total Depth
$179,270
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
2.2¢509
2.1¢1,151
2.0¢977
1.5¢1,170
1.3¢165
1.2¢417
1.1¢455
1.0¢500
Asks (Sell)
2.6¢138
2.7¢500
2.8¢165
2.9¢8
3.7¢963
4.0¢7,100
4.1¢5,000
4.7¢100
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
3.53¢+35.68%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
5.63¢+116.36%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
29.10¢+1019.30%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 2.40%, based on $27.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.