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Finance · Polymarket

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?

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98.85%
Live Bitcoin Price$86,126▼ 0.43% 24h· via CoinGecko
Thu 1706 AM12 PM06 PMFri 1806 AM12 PM06 PMSat 1906 AM12 PM06 PMSep 2006 AM12 PM06 PMMon 2106 AM12 PM06 PMTue 2206 AM12 PM06 PM0102030405060708090100%98.85%

Stats

24h Volume
$50.6K

Your call

The market says 98.8%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price98.85%
Spread + depth+0.38 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability99.23%
1008
Shares
$8
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (0.1%)
Mid Price
98.8¢
Total Depth
$93,060
Bid/Ask Imbalance
36% bid
Bids (Buy)
98.8¢854
98.6¢1,971
98.5¢3,008
97.7¢400
97.6¢100
97.3¢400
97.2¢5,000
97.0¢100
Asks (Sell)
98.9¢65
99.2¢461
99.3¢544
99.4¢1,131
99.5¢1,400
99.6¢1,060
99.7¢2,000
99.8¢7,043
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
99.01¢+0.11%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
99.23¢+0.33%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
99.61¢+0.72%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 98.85%, based on $50.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 23, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.