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Culture · Polymarket

Vito Mielnicki Jr. vs. Austin Williams

Trade on Polymarket →
46.50%
06 AM12 PM06 PMAug 3006 AM12 PM06 PMMon 3106 AM12 PM06 PMSeptember06 AM12 PM06 PMWed 0206 AM12 PM06 PMThu 0306 AM4042444648505254%46.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$234

Your call

The market says 46.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price46.50%
Spread + depth+24.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability71.00%
1409
Shares
$409
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.0¢ (6.5%)
Mid Price
46.5¢
Total Depth
$2,582
Bid/Ask Imbalance
21% bid
Bids (Buy)
45.0¢66
43.0¢33
42.0¢110
35.0¢20
34.0¢21
33.0¢42
32.0¢9
27.0¢19
Asks (Sell)
48.0¢5
49.0¢24
50.0¢55
53.0¢36
54.0¢110
64.0¢19
65.0¢40
66.0¢21
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
51.88¢+8.09%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
71.00¢+47.91%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
79.94¢+66.55%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Vito Mielnicki Jr. vs. Austin Williams"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 46.50%, based on $234 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.