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Sports · Polymarket

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-05?

Trade on Polymarket →
39.00%
12 PMTue 2512 PMWed 2612 PMThu 2712 PMFri 2812 PMSat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PM34363840424446485052%37.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$195.7K

Your call

The market says 39.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price39.00%
Spread + depth−0.85 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability38.15%
2622
Shares
$1,622
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.7%)
Mid Price
37.5¢
Total Depth
$70,998
Bid/Ask Imbalance
7% bid
Bids (Buy)
37.0¢252
36.0¢2,245
35.0¢2,559
34.0¢973
33.0¢4,481
32.0¢286
31.0¢126
16.0¢11
Asks (Sell)
38.0¢2,245
39.0¢512
40.0¢2,735
41.0¢4,952
42.0¢5,000
46.0¢50
64.0¢7
75.0¢10
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
38.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
38.14¢+0.38%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
50.43¢+32.70%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 15 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Celtic FC
99.95%
CS Huancayo
99.95%
EC Bahia
99.95%
Boyacá Chicó FC
94.50%
Go Ahead Eagles
85.35%
FC Cincinnati
59.50%
Columbus Crew
47.50%
São Paulo FCViewing
39.00%
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
32.00%
Ceará SC
27.50%
CA Talleres
23.50%
Once Caldas
0.95%
Red Bull Bragantino
0.05%
Wrexham AFC
0.05%
Swansea City AFC
0.05%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-05?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 39.00%, based on $195.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.