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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
95.30%
Tue 2506 AM12 PM06 PMWed 2606 AM12 PM06 PMThu 2706 AM12 PM06 PMFri 2806 AM12 PM06 PMSat 2906 AM12 PM2030405060708090100%95.30%

Stats

24h Volume
$85.4K

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.6¢ (0.6%)
Mid Price
95.3¢
Total Depth
$56,936
Bid/Ask Imbalance
3% bid
Bids (Buy)
95.0¢115
94.9¢70
94.6¢100
94.2¢10
94.1¢20
94.0¢645
93.5¢12
92.6¢5
Asks (Sell)
95.6¢2,909
95.7¢156
95.8¢361
95.9¢230
96.0¢4,758
96.1¢50
96.2¢35
96.3¢635
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
95.60¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
95.60¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
95.95¢+0.36%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

Manifold🇮🇸🇪🇺 Will Iceland vote to restart EU accession talks on August 29, 2026?
52.73%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 95.30%, based on $85.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around August 29, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.