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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
0.05%
12 PMWed 2612 PMThu 2712 PMFri 2812 PMSat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0400.511.522.53%0.05%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 0.5% in 3d (0.5–0.5%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$32.7K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
—
Mid Price
—
Total Depth
$21,178
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
Asks (Sell)
0.1¢7,898
0.2¢500
0.4¢5
0.5¢12
0.6¢18
1.0¢172
1.1¢50
1.2¢50
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
1.11¢+1008.47%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
9.21¢+9106.03%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
50.27¢+50172.59%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessPochettino to leave as USA head coach by August 31, 2026?
100.00%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.05%, based on $32.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.