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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
67.50%
Aug 3006 AM12 PM06 PMMon 3106 AM12 PM06 PMSeptember06 AM12 PM06 PMWed 024045505560657075%67.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$62.1K

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.5%)
Mid Price
67.5¢
Total Depth
$12,707
Bid/Ask Imbalance
10% bid
Bids (Buy)
67.0¢99
65.0¢6
64.0¢7
62.0¢100
61.0¢6
60.0¢10
59.0¢39
58.0¢10
Asks (Sell)
68.0¢74
69.0¢56
70.0¢276
71.0¢180
72.0¢33
73.0¢76
74.0¢473
75.0¢377
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
68.60¢+0.88%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
72.34¢+6.38%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
94.42¢+38.86%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?
97.90%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 67.50%, based on $62.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 2, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.