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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
15.00%
Aug 3006 AM12 PM06 PMMon 3106 AM12 PM06 PMSeptember06 AM12 PM06 PMWed 0206 AM0510152025303540455055%15.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$66.9K

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (13.3%)
Mid Price
15.0¢
Total Depth
$11,824
Bid/Ask Imbalance
6% bid
Bids (Buy)
14.0¢100
13.0¢250
12.0¢1,460
11.0¢13
10.0¢246
9.0¢424
8.0¢367
7.0¢1,171
Asks (Sell)
16.0¢100
17.0¢515
18.0¢45
19.0¢44
21.0¢90
23.0¢62
24.0¢40
25.0¢8
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
16.83¢+5.20%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
45.34¢+183.36%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
88.19¢+451.18%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?
97.94%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 15.00%, based on $66.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 2, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.