Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
24.50%
12 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PM01020304050607080%25.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$88.0K

Your call

The market says 24.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price24.50%
Spread + depth+3.61 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability28.11%
3558
Shares
$2,558
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.9%)
Mid Price
25.5¢
Total Depth
$22,555
Bid/Ask Imbalance
6% bid
Bids (Buy)
25.0¢5
24.0¢29
23.0¢321
22.0¢582
21.0¢453
20.0¢983
19.0¢198
18.0¢1,455
Asks (Sell)
26.0¢575
27.0¢852
28.0¢524
29.0¢840
30.0¢750
31.0¢627
32.0¢598
33.0¢932
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
26.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
28.11¢+8.11%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
46.02¢+77.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Similar Culture Markets

Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 4.2524H
8.40%+1090

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?

8.40%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $182.4K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 41.5524H
92.05%-1158

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?

92.05%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $124.9K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 0.324H
0.05%

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?

0.05%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $109.2K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 12.3524H
16.80%+495

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

16.80%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $66.1K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 33.9524H
0.05%

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

0.05%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $143.0K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 3824H
54.50%-120

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

54.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $57.4K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 24.50%, based on $88.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.