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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
0.25%
09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSep 0603 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PM00.511.522.53%0.25%

Stats

24h Volume
$819

Your call

The market says 0.3%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price0.50%
Spread + depth+9.63 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability10.13%
9868
Shares
$8,868
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (40.0%)
Mid Price
0.3¢
Total Depth
$29,704
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
0.2¢10,102
0.1¢11,292
Asks (Sell)
0.3¢732
0.4¢257
0.5¢300
0.6¢200
0.7¢200
1.0¢360
1.3¢10
1.4¢20
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
2.74¢+814.13%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
10.13¢+3277.99%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
46.54¢+15412.20%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.25%, based on $819 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.