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Sports · Polymarket

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?

Trade on Polymarket →
75.50%
76.6% calibrated
12 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 207072747678808284%75.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 75.1% in 2d (74.2–76.0%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$52.4K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 75.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price75.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability76.00%
1316
Shares
$316
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.3%)
Mid Price
75.5¢
Total Depth
$311,218
Bid/Ask Imbalance
35% bid
Bids (Buy)
75.0¢51,135
74.0¢23,574
73.0¢43,702
72.0¢20,556
71.0¢4,646
70.0¢755
69.0¢550
68.0¢20
Asks (Sell)
76.0¢21,105
77.0¢37,760
78.0¢49,238
79.0¢25,402
80.0¢32,306
81.0¢8,467
82.0¢6,131
83.0¢15,150
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
76.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
76.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
76.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 75.50%, based on $52.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 20, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.