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Sports · Polymarket

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?

Trade on Polymarket →
43.50%
42.9% calibrated
12 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PM3638404244464850%39.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$1.6M

Your call

The market says 43.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price43.50%
Spread + depth−3.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability40.00%
2500
Shares
$1,500
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.5%)
Mid Price
39.5¢
Total Depth
$579,901
Bid/Ask Imbalance
13% bid
Bids (Buy)
39.0¢15,912
38.0¢53,717
37.0¢14,423
36.0¢10,970
35.0¢458
34.0¢2,528
33.0¢130
32.0¢30
Asks (Sell)
40.0¢7,821
41.0¢52,514
42.0¢18,519
43.0¢11,018
44.0¢422
45.0¢2,186
46.0¢55
47.0¢30
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
40.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
40.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
40.68¢+1.70%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 14 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Viking FK
99.95%
FC Barcelona
99.75%
Feyenoord Rotterdam
99.20%
FC Bayern München
83.50%
Paris Saint-Germain FC
78.50%
SSC Napoli
53.50%
IK Start
53.50%
Manchester City FCViewing
43.50%
Manchester United FC
32.50%
SK Brann
19.50%
Stade Brestois 29
6.50%
SV 07 Elversberg
5.00%
Levante UD
0.05%
Viborg FF
0.05%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessManchester City to win by 2 or more goals vs Manchester United?
19.00%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 43.50%, based on $1.6M in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 13, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.