Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Sports · Polymarket

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?

Trade on Polymarket →
45.50%
32.7% calibrated
12 PMMon 2412 PMTue 2512 PMWed 2612 PMThu 2712 PMFri 2812 PMSat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PM3840424446485052%45.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$120.1K

Your call

The market says 45.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price45.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability46.00%
2174
Shares
$1,174
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.2%)
Mid Price
45.5¢
Total Depth
$318,691
Bid/Ask Imbalance
37% bid
Bids (Buy)
45.0¢120,779
44.0¢51,918
43.0¢28,522
42.0¢32,300
41.0¢6,350
40.0¢4,235
39.0¢5,060
38.0¢50
Asks (Sell)
46.0¢132,215
47.0¢142,420
48.0¢28,888
49.0¢8,229
50.0¢8,015
51.0¢12,081
52.0¢6,190
53.0¢6,282
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
46.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
46.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
46.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 3 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Manchester City FC
84.50%
Aston Villa FC
51.50%
Newcastle United FCViewing
45.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldEPL: Newcastle United (Draw No Bet) vs. AFC Bournemouth – Premier League (Sep 5, 2026)
49.98%
Same bet?

Similar Sports Markets

Polymarket logoPolymarket
45.50%+120

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?

45.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $55.6K
Manifold logoManifold
49.98%+100

EPL: Newcastle United (Draw No Bet) vs. AFC Bournemouth – Premier League (Sep 5, 2026)

49.98%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 10 Mana
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 11.9524H
4.55%+2098

Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-09-04?

4.55%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $70.6K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 3024H
93.50%-1438

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?

93.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $1.2M
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 1024H
61.50%-160

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

61.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $1.2M
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 9.2524H
3.25%+2977

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-04?

3.25%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $102.8K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 45.50%, based on $120.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.