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Finance · Polymarket

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 4?

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82.50%
Live Ethereum Price$2,378.17▼ 3.19% 24h· via CoinGecko
Sat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PM74767880828486889092949698%82.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 84.4% in 2d (76.8–89.9%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$11.6K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 82.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price82.50%
Spread + depth+1.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability84.00%
1190
Shares
$190
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (2.4%)
Mid Price
83.0¢
Total Depth
$34,044
Bid/Ask Imbalance
57% bid
Bids (Buy)
82.0¢5,581
79.0¢4,000
67.0¢5,000
34.0¢4,447
27.0¢4,533
13.0¢28,423
12.0¢1,202
10.0¢301
Asks (Sell)
84.0¢4,000
87.0¢5,900
93.0¢76
94.0¢33
97.0¢22
98.0¢807
99.0¢5,246
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
84.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
84.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
87.43¢+4.09%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 4?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 82.50%, based on $11.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.