1.45%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 98.55% on "Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?", backed by $45.6K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $45.6K
- Momentum
- -0.01pt/day
Your call
The market says 1.4%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
Is this price right?
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True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price1.45%
Spread + depth+3.29 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability4.74%
21083
Shares
$20,083
Net if it wins
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
2.0¢ (133.3%)
Mid Price
1.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$35,895
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
0.5¢1,205
0.4¢83
0.2¢7,249
0.1¢9,311
Asks (Sell)
2.5¢149
2.6¢20
2.7¢5
2.8¢1,396
3.0¢2,250
3.1¢1,200
3.2¢800
3.5¢888
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
2.89¢+15.79%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
4.74¢+89.73%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
16.02¢+540.82%
avg fill · slippage
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