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Sports · Polymarket

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04?

Trade on Polymarket →
72.50%
71.9% calibrated
Aug 23Mon 24Tue 25Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 044550556065707580%72.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$159.1K

Your call

The market says 72.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price72.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability73.00%
1370
Shares
$370
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
72.5¢
Total Depth
$532,941
Bid/Ask Imbalance
27% bid
Bids (Buy)
72.0¢16,512
71.0¢53,454
70.0¢34,880
69.0¢30,725
68.0¢108
67.0¢1,725
65.0¢238
61.0¢844
Asks (Sell)
73.0¢48,435
74.0¢61,004
75.0¢67,831
76.0¢24,889
77.0¢58,081
78.0¢53,699
79.0¢5,005
80.0¢5,534
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
73.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
73.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
73.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 22 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Olympique Lyonnais
99.95%
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club
99.95%
Lyngby BK
99.95%
Galatasaray SK
98.00%
FC Porto
87.50%
Paris Saint-Germain FCViewing
72.50%
VfB Stuttgart
71.00%
Real Madrid CF
66.50%
Al Hilal Saudi Club
61.50%
Liverpool FC
59.50%
Como 1907
58.50%
FC Annecy
29.50%
Ipswich Town FC
18.50%
Real Betis Balompié
14.50%
1. FC Köln
11.50%
AJ Auxerre
0.40%
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
0.05%
Viborg FF
0.05%
Hannover 96
0.05%
Karlsruher SC
0.05%
Rams Başakşehir FK
0.05%
Abha Saudi Club
0.05%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 72.50%, based on $159.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.