78.00%
Executive Briefing
Live Futuur consensus prices "Yes" at 78% on "December 31, 2026 — GPT-6 released by ...?", backed by $1.7K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $1.7K
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
ManifoldWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "December 31, 2026 — GPT-6 released by ...?"?
As of the latest update, Futuur prices this at 78.00%, based on $1.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 29, 2026, per Futuur's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Futuur. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets), or no confidently-verified match was found.



