Skip to content
Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Culture · Polymarket

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23?

Trade on Polymarket →
0.05%
09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMTue 2203 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMWed 2303 AM012345678910%0.05%

Stats

24h Volume
$25.5K

Your call

The market says 0.1%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price0.50%
Spread + depth+5.33 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability5.83%
17144
Shares
$16,144
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
Mid Price
Total Depth
$29,521
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
Asks (Sell)
0.1¢2,812
0.2¢1,534
0.3¢2,222
0.4¢100
0.5¢300
0.8¢41
0.9¢2,925
1.0¢5,334
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
0.64¢+542.82%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
5.83¢+5732.97%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
34.60¢+34496.20%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.05%, based on $25.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 23, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.