99.95%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 99.95% on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?", backed by $154.9K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $154.9K
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
—
Mid Price
—
Total Depth (shown levels)
$151,798
Bid/Ask Imbalance
100% bid
Bids (Buy)
99.9¢24,826
99.5¢82,144
98.9¢600
98.8¢4,000
98.1¢7,103
97.8¢320
97.7¢500
97.5¢500
Asks (Sell)
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
Insufficient depth
$1,000 order
Insufficient depth
$10,000 order
Insufficient depth
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Politics Markets
Polymarket▼ 2.5024H
82.00%-456
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
82.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $115.0K
Polymarket▼ 0.2024H
0.05%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
0.05%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $45.8K
Polymarket▼ 17.1524H
4.65%+2051
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
4.65%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $45.4K
Polymarket▼ 0.3524H
0.15%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
0.15%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $111.3K
Polymarket0.15%
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
0.15%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $55.2K
Manifold26.32%+280
Will the US announce materially tougher Iran sanctions within 14‑days of Scott Bessent’s “Economic D‑Day” FT op‑ed?
26.32%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 10 Mana
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 99.95%, based on $154.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around August 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.



