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Politics · Polymarket

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Trade on Polymarket →
82.00%
Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15556065707580859095%82.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 86.5% in 14d (82.4–89.8%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$115.0K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (2.4%)
Mid Price
82.0¢
Total Depth
$137,706
Bid/Ask Imbalance
14% bid
Bids (Buy)
81.0¢40
80.0¢147
79.0¢634
78.0¢205
76.0¢200
75.0¢200
74.0¢20
73.0¢200
Asks (Sell)
83.0¢1,508
84.0¢12,592
85.0¢1,713
86.0¢3,445
87.0¢5,187
88.0¢190
89.0¢2,266
90.0¢8,201
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
83.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
83.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
83.87¢+1.05%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 82.00%, based on $115.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.