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Sports · Kalshi

Conor McGregor to compete in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2028?

Trade on Kalshi →
13.50%
7.45% fee-adjusted
12.7% calibrated
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 2915202530354045%29.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 33.2% in 14d (28.0–38.9%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$0
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 13.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
KalshiLive best ask
Quoted price13.50%
Spread + depth+3.50 pts
Fee5.81% of stake
Break-even probability17.99%
5882
Shares
$4,824
Net if it wins

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Conor McGregor to compete in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2028?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 13.50%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2028, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.