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Politics · Kalshi

Will Chris Van Hollen be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?

Trade on Kalshi →
1.00%
0.00% fee-adjusted
Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 16Thu 17Fri 1800.511.522.533.54%1.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 1.0% in 14d (1.0–1.0%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$0
Momentum
0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 1.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
KalshiLive best ask
Quoted price1.00%
Spread + depth0.00 pts
Fee6.93% of stake
Break-even probability1.07%
100000
Shares
$98,931
Net if it wins

Other Real Candidates — 11 Total

Every other real Kalshi contract for this exact same question, ranked by real live probability.

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Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Chris Van Hollen be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 1.00%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 7, 2028, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.