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Politics · Kalshi

Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026?

Trade on Kalshi →
98.50%
98.39% fee-adjusted
Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 16Thu 17Fri 18Sat 19Sep 20102030405060708090100%99.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 99.9% in 14d (99.9–100.0%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$0
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 98.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
KalshiLive best ask
Quoted price98.50%
Spread + depth+1.00 pts
Fee0.04% of stake
Break-even probability99.53%
1005
Shares
$5
Net if it wins

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 98.50%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 17, 2026, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.