Culture · Polymarket
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
Trade on Polymarket →2.35%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 97.65% on "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?", backed by $18.2K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $18.2K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
0.1¢ (4.3%)
Mid Price
2.4¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$1,203,542
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
2.3¢130
2.2¢15,588
2.1¢1,490
2.0¢2,984
1.9¢1,538
1.8¢2,800
1.7¢15,196
1.6¢620
Asks (Sell)
2.4¢3,776
2.5¢2,734
2.6¢1,690
2.7¢8,300
2.8¢5,648
2.9¢11,031
3.0¢1,510
3.1¢956
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
2.41¢+0.38%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
2.76¢+14.93%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
5.50¢+129.19%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Culture Markets
Polymarket▼ 2.0024H
4.95%+1920
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
4.95%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $106.1K
Polymarket▼ 0.0524H
2.80%+3471
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
2.80%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $70.3K
Polymarket▼ 0.3024H
0.05%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
0.05%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $53.0K
Polymarket▼ 10.5024H
37.00%+170
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
37.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $52.4K
Polymarket▼ 1.2524H
1.55%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
1.55%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $40.9K
Polymarket▼ 25.0024H
6.50%+1438
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
6.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $38.9K
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 2.35%, based on $18.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.