Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Sports · Polymarket

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?

Trade on Polymarket →
77.50%
12 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PM6065707580859095%77.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 76.4% in 2d (72.4–80.0%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$76.5K
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 77.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price77.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability78.00%
1282
Shares
$282
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.3%)
Mid Price
77.5¢
Total Depth
$216,619
Bid/Ask Imbalance
52% bid
Bids (Buy)
77.0¢76,274
76.0¢28,030
75.0¢10,974
74.0¢19,196
73.0¢7,052
72.0¢702
71.0¢1,025
70.0¢1,029
Asks (Sell)
78.0¢40,484
79.0¢8,886
80.0¢15,350
81.0¢22,629
82.0¢1,796
83.0¢2,194
84.0¢1,670
85.0¢1,655
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
78.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
78.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
78.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Similar Sports Markets

Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 524H
45.50%+120

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?

45.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $176.0K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 724H
88.50%-770

Will PSV win on 2026-09-13?

88.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $105.8K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 324H
61.50%-160

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-13?

61.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $261.1K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 71.4524H
99.95%

Will IK Start win on 2026-09-13?

99.95%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $91.3K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 26.9524H
99.95%

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-13?

99.95%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $80.5K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 47.4524H
0.05%

Will SK Brann win on 2026-09-13?

0.05%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $257.8K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 77.50%, based on $76.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.