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Culture · Polymarket

Real Madrid CF to win the second half?

Trade on Polymarket →
12.00%
Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 150102030405060708090%7.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$1.7K

Your call

The market says 12.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price12.00%
Spread + depth+31.49 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability43.49%
2299
Shares
$1,299
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
4.0¢ (57.1%)
Mid Price
7.0¢
Total Depth
$807
Bid/Ask Imbalance
12% bid
Bids (Buy)
5.0¢6
3.0¢3,262
Asks (Sell)
9.0¢1,000
96.0¢25
97.0¢100
98.0¢200
99.0¢305
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
9.90¢+9.97%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
43.49¢+383.27%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
43.49¢+383.27%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Real Madrid CF to win the second half?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 12.00%, based on $1.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.