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Sports · Polymarket

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?

Trade on Polymarket →
70.50%
71.2% calibrated
12 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PM60626466687072747678%70.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$29.9K

Your call

The market says 70.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price70.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability71.00%
1408
Shares
$408
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
70.5¢
Total Depth
$477,570
Bid/Ask Imbalance
27% bid
Bids (Buy)
70.0¢27,756
69.0¢38,780
68.0¢75,402
67.0¢26,078
66.0¢6,853
65.0¢3,294
64.0¢117
63.0¢1,402
Asks (Sell)
71.0¢154,535
72.0¢75,219
73.0¢110,782
74.0¢29,242
75.0¢14,216
76.0¢8,537
77.0¢10,025
78.0¢5,123
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
71.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
71.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
71.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 3 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Club Atlético de MadridViewing
70.50%
AC Milan
45.50%
Real Racing Club
3.15%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 70.50%, based on $29.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 16, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.