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Culture · Polymarket

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win the second half?

Trade on Polymarket →
34.50%
12 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PM303540455055%34.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$0

Your call

The market says 34.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price34.50%
Spread + depth+28.55 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability63.05%
1586
Shares
$586
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
6.0¢ (17.6%)
Mid Price
34.0¢
Total Depth
$2,981
Bid/Ask Imbalance
15% bid
Bids (Buy)
31.0¢5
24.0¢13
19.0¢14
18.0¢67
17.0¢29
15.0¢110
14.0¢543
13.0¢818
Asks (Sell)
37.0¢10
39.0¢20
40.0¢464
42.0¢5
66.0¢55
67.0¢74
69.0¢16
70.0¢449
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
39.80¢+7.57%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
63.05¢+70.41%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
77.71¢+110.03%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessRayo Vallecano and Espanyol both to score?
55.50%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win the second half?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 34.50%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.