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Finance · Limitless

BTC Up or Down - Daily

Trade on Limitless →
68.40%
67.17% fee-adjusted
Live Bitcoin Price$81,546▲ 5.41% 24h· via CoinGecko

Stats

24h Volume
$324

Your call

The market says 68.4%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
LimitlessLive best ask
Quoted price68.40%
Spread + depth+19.20 pts
Fee0.72% of stake
Break-even probability88.23%
1142
Shares
$134
Net if it wins

AMM — no order book published; the fee is the documented curve, the depth cost is unknown.

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "BTC Up or Down - Daily"?

As of the latest update, Limitless prices this at 68.40%, based on $324 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 4, 2026, per Limitless's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Limitless. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.