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Sports · Limitless

Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina

Trade on Limitless →
68.50%
67.27% fee-adjusted

Stats

24h Volume
$14

Your call

The market says 68.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
LimitlessLive best ask
Quoted price68.50%
Spread + depth+3.00 pts
Fee1.15% of stake
Break-even probability72.32%
1399
Shares
$387
Net if it wins

AMM — no order book published; the fee is the documented curve, the depth cost is unknown.

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)28.17%
Platforms disagree by 60.5pts — wider than usual, worth checking each quote below before trusting the average.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
Limitless
Furthest from consensus
Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina68.50%65.5¢ / 71.5¢
33%
PolymarketUS Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa8.00%—
67%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina"?

As of the latest update, Limitless prices this at 68.50%, based on $14 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Limitless's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Limitless. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Polymarket (8.00%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 28.17%. See the full comparison table below.