π·πΈ Will the SNS-led list win an outright majority (126+ of 250 seats) in Serbia's 25 October 2026 election?
Trade on Manifold βExecutive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 72% on "π·πΈ Will the SNS-led list win an outright majority (126+ of 250 seats) in Serbia's 25 October 2026 election?", backed by 2 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 2 Mana
Your call
The market says 28.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored β Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.
True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid β the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
AMM β no order book or best ask published, so the real spread and depth cost are unknown.
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Politics Markets
Manifoldπ·πΈ Will the SNS-led list win the most seats in Serbiaβs 2026 parliamentary election?
no history published
PredictItHow many House seats will Republicans win in the 2026 midterm election?: 238 or more
no history published
PredictItHow many House seats will Republicans win in the 2026 midterm election?: 192 or fewer
no history published
PredictItHow many Senate seats will the GOP control after the 2026 midterms?: 48
no history published
PredictItHow many Senate seats will the GOP control after the 2026 midterms?: 49
no history published
PredictItHow many Senate seats will the GOP control after the 2026 midterms?: 50
no history published
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "π·πΈ Will the SNS-led list win an outright majority (126+ of 250 seats) in Serbia's 25 October 2026 election?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 28.00%, based on 2 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 9, 2026, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.



