Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "Yes" at 59.98% on "Chances I will get a 1560+ on the September SAT?", backed by 195 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 195 Mana
Your call
The market says 60.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.
True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
AMM — no order book or best ask published, so the real spread and depth cost are unknown.
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Culture Markets
ManifoldWill I get called "sir" more than "ma'am" over the phone in September?
no history published
ManifoldWill I get a GPA more than 3.25 in Fall 26
no history published
ManifoldAm i going to get 5 straight A-s for my first 5 grades?
no history published
Polymarket
Iran leadership change by September 30?
no history published
Polymarket
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
no history published
ManifoldWill The Opportunities Party get a higher party vote percent than any of ACT, NZ First or greens?
no history published
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Chances I will get a 1560+ on the September SAT?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 59.98%, based on 195 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 24, 2026, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.