88.93%
Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "Yes" at 88.93% on "Will Joe Schmid be Catholic before 2030?", backed by 117 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 117 Mana
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Other Culture Markets
Polymarket▲ 124H
16.50%+506
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $609.7K
Polymarket▲ 0.124H
2.85%+3409
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
2.85%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $220.4K
Polymarket▲ 0.224H
0.80%
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's US Open?
0.80%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $199.2K
Limitless100.00%
Will Ødegaard join Man United by Sep 2, 2026?
100.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $197.7K
Polymarket▲ 0.324H
3.75%+2567
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
3.75%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $142.5K
Polymarket▲ 0.724H
2.75%+3536
Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 Men's US Open?
2.75%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $137.7K
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Joe Schmid be Catholic before 2030?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 88.93%, based on 117 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2029, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.