13.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 86.5% on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?", backed by $18.8K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $18.8K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (7.4%)
Mid Price
13.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$849,171
Bid/Ask Imbalance
24% bid
Bids (Buy)
13.0¢17,797
12.0¢190,948
11.0¢647,522
10.0¢461,968
9.0¢36,196
8.0¢47,970
7.0¢24,894
6.0¢51,667
Asks (Sell)
14.0¢130,272
15.0¢196,271
16.0¢87,504
17.0¢87,178
18.0¢144,482
19.0¢81,422
20.0¢6,210
21.0¢6,533
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
14.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
14.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
14.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Culture Markets
Polymarket▲ 0.1024H
3.95%+2432
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3.95%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $92.2K
Polymarket▼ 0.2024H
0.05%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
0.05%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $61.0K
Manifold28.23%+254
What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
28.23%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 627 Mana
Manifold34.87%+187
Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?
34.87%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 28 Mana
Manifold22.64%+342
Will China intervene and offer Iran nuclear power plants, ending the war, in 2026?
22.64%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 0 Mana
Manifold50.00%-100
Will a round of the WRC be planned to take place in the USA in 2027?
50.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 0 Mana
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 13.50%, based on $18.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.