3.95%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 96.05% on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?", backed by $90.2K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $90.2K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
0.1¢ (2.5%)
Mid Price
4.0¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$619,685
Bid/Ask Imbalance
8% bid
Bids (Buy)
3.9¢36,211
3.8¢5,014
3.7¢8,138
3.6¢21,362
3.5¢3,768
3.4¢26,027
3.3¢1,053
3.2¢1,762
Asks (Sell)
4.0¢192,781
4.1¢1,180
4.2¢2,000
4.5¢14,800
4.6¢607
4.7¢210
4.9¢28,403
5.0¢35,769
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
4.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
4.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
4.15¢+3.65%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Culture Markets
Manifold50.00%-100
Will a round of the WRC be planned to take place in the USA in 2027?
50.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 0 Mana
Manifold44.58%+124
Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of July 2027?
44.58%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 0 Mana
Polymarket▼ 0.1024H
0.15%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
0.15%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $437.7K
Polymarket▼ 0.3524H
2.50%+3900
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
2.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $241.6K
Polymarket▼ 13.2524H
25.65%+290
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
25.65%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $136.5K
Polymarket▼ 13.5024H
61.50%-160
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?
61.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $78.2K
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 3.95%, based on $90.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.



