Entertainment · Manifold

Will we get GTA VI before Witchbrook?

56.09%

Executive Briefing

Live Manifold consensus prices "Yes" at 56.09% on "Will we get GTA VI before Witchbrook?", backed by 22 Mana in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: 22 Mana

Your call

The market says 56.1%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?

Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side

Order

ManifoldQuoted price only

Quoted price56.09%

Spread + depth0.00 pts

Fee0.00% of stake

Break-even probability56.09%

1783

$783

Net if it wins

AMM — no order book or best ask published, so the real spread and depth cost are unknown.

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Similar Entertainment Markets

Polymarket

▼ 2.2524H

0.25%

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?

0.25%Live price only —
no history published

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?

92.65%Live price only —
no history published

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?

6.65%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $130.5K

Manifold

37.27%+168

Will a playable build of Grand Theft Auto VI leak before November 1, 2026?

37.27%Live price only —
no history published

VOL 18 Mana

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will we get GTA VI before Witchbrook?"?

As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 56.09%, based on 22 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2999, per Manifold's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.