Will Google release a higher-quality successor to Nano Banana Pro before November?
Trade on Manifold →Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 56.05% on "Will Google release a higher-quality successor to Nano Banana Pro before November?", backed by 26 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 26 Mana
Your call
The market says 44.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.
True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
AMM — no order book or best ask published, so the real spread and depth cost are unknown.
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Culture Markets
ManifoldWill pro-Russian armed groups take control of a government building in any Baltic city or town by November 30, 2026?
no history published
LimitlessGoogle (GOOG) Up or Down - Daily
no history published
ManifoldWill deepseek v5 release in september 2026?
no history published
ManifoldWill Astra release today?
no history published
ManifoldWill Valve release a new VR game before the end of 2026?
no history published
ManifoldWill the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?
no history published
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Google release a higher-quality successor to Nano Banana Pro before November?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 43.95%, based on 26 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 31, 2026, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.